Bullseye explores, celebrates and invests in American Ingenuity, managing a portfolio of 35-50 publicly-traded US equities with significant runway for growth. These are dynamic, US companies propelling the world forward across multiple industries. Frequent focus sectors include Energy, Health and Technology. Every pick shares three defining attributes: great story, compelling data, timely catalyst.
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Adam Johnson

Adam Johnson anchored several business programs at Bloomberg Television over five years, interviewing CEOs, heads of state, and Nobel laureates. His daily video investment blog, Insight and Action was sponsored by a major U.S. lender. Previously he managed global risk assets for ING Furman Selz and Louis Dreyfus, trading oil futures, listed equities and equity options. Adam began his career at Merrill Lynch with a degree in economics at Princeton.


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Growth Meets Value

Payments At A Discount
  • Global payments revenues will rise 9% annually from $2.1T in 2021 to $3.3T in 2026 according to McKinsey
  • Financial stocks down on recession risk and banking contagion though neither threat still seems relevant
  • Payments processors could see significant appreciation as fear dissipates and online adoption accelerates

Looking Up – I think financials are on the cusp of a new bull market, having survived the dual threats of recession angst and rising rates. While the past year has been particularly difficult for this group, with short sellers piling on everything they had, profits are resilient and so are their stocks. One of my long time fintech holdings has been sideways for months, and following last week’s earnings report, I’m reiterating my buy. The company beat earnings and sales estimates by 15%. Management also raised guidance by 10%… yet the stock fell 10%. I think short-term traders reacted to a headline that gross profit growth appears to be slowing to 21% currently from 27% last quarter. Fine. I’ll happily accept less fruit in the pie if the pie is getting bigger… and transaction volumes are rising double-digits. Most analysts raised their estimates. I’m reiterating my buy.

September 16, 2023

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The New Holy Grail

Generative A.I. Pure-Play
  • Generative AI turbocharges traditional AI by enabling the creation of entirely new content
  • Fewer than 10 publicly traded US companies offer pure-play or near pure-play AI exposure
  • Proven data analytics pioneer proactively investing in Generative AI demonstrates leadership

Holy Grail – Artificial Intelligence has become The Thing every company either needs develop or wants to provide, and last week one of my data analytics providers popped 20% on particularly strong Q2 results. Earnings beat estimates 50%, margins rose 150% and management raised guidance to reflect new AI-driven opportunities. You may recall that I first presented this stock under $100 in June, arguing it could potentially triple. It’s now $120 and I’m reiterating my BUY. The company has been profitable every year since going public in 2012, and it’s ideally positioned to lead the charge from interpreting data to projecting outcomes… one way to think about generative AI. The CEO’s message was crystal clear during the call, and Wall Street analysts took notice, raising targets and estimates. Again, I’m reiterating my BUY.

September 16, 2023

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Revolutionizing Supply Chains

Cybersecurity at Scale
  • Cybersecurity is an $100B addressable market increasing 15% per year according to Gartner Group
  • Cloud deployment is transforming security protocols by introducing perpetual upgrades/enhancements
  • Top cybersecurity provider sees double-digit growth ahead as customer spend continues to increase

Battle Stations – Cybersecurity is a $100B business growing 15% annually because every person, every company and every organization is at risk from a crippling and costly cyberattacks. I have owned the global #1 security platform for years, and recently sold a half my position when it reached my target. Then days later a competitor lowered guidance and my remaining shares plunged 25%… now I’m buying them back. The company has beaten estimates every quarter since going public in 2012, and typically rallied 7% the following day. While I do not consider myself a short-term trader, I do think the recent selloff is unfounded. This premier company offers a compelling tactical entry point and I’m a buyer once again, especially since I’ve updated my model and raised my price target.

September 16, 2023

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17

As in Apple’s new iOS 17 operating system is now available and promises to improve annoying autocorrect typing.
#FinelyNoFinally

40

As in the UAW’s requested 40% pay increase over four years would lower Ford’s annual profit by 8-10% (Wells Fargo).
#ChryslerCounteredAt20%

250

As in Amazon plans to hire a record 250,000 seasonal workers to help with this year’s Christmas rush.
#WhatRecession?

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“My ideal investing is stuff that looks a little crazy now and in 3-5 years is obvious.”
– LinkedIn Co-founder Reed Hoffman
#AmericanIngenuity

“Nobody thought is was possible, but we are using quantum equations run on standard graphics processing units… we don’t have to wait for a quantum computer.”
– Sandbox CEO Jack Hidary
#CreativeSolutions

“The ecosystems in the West and China are growing apart, and we clearly have to adapt.”
– Volkswagon CEO Oliver Blume
#SupplyChainShift