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Adam Johnson
Adam Johnson anchored several business programs at Bloomberg Television over five years, interviewing CEOs, heads of state, and Nobel laureates. His daily video investment blog, Insight and Action was sponsored by a major U.S. lender. Previously he managed global risk assets for ING Furman Selz and Louis Dreyfus, trading oil futures, listed equities and equity options. Adam began his career at Merrill Lynch with a degree in economics at Princeton.
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Three Reasons To Buy
Rates, Resumption, Return
- Fears of contagion across private credit are proving unfounded as opportunistic buyers emerge
- Private credit is one-tenth the size of public credit and bad loans have proven isolated not systemic
- One of private credit’s largest managers has seen significant inflows amid the sector’s volatility
Witch Hunt? – JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon famously spooked credit markets last October when he warned of “cockroaches” lurking the shadowy world of private lending. “I probably shouldn’t say this, but when you see one cockroach, there are probably more. And so we should, everyone should, be forewarned on this one.” Thus began a race to the bottom within the financial sector that many thought would bring down the whole system, but it didn’t. Private credit is one-tenth the size of public credit (1/30th when you add municipal and government debt), and now savvy vulture investors like Boaz Weinstein of Saba Capital and partners at Blackstone are buying distressed loans on the cheap. As often happens on Wall Street, the pendulum swung too far. Now it’s swinging back.
May 01, 2026
Read MoreTaking to the Skies
Our 2nd eVTOL Pick
- The WH and DoT have fast-tracked taxi and cargo drone service to begin this summer across 11 states
- Electric Vertical Takeoff/Landing market (eVTOL) projected to grow 42% CAGR through 2030 (UnivDatos)
- Only three companies in US capable of offering eVTOL service this year creates significant opportunity
Big Idea – Mobility is an exciting investment theme for this decade, encompassing multiple technologies spanning drones, EVs, autonomy, ride-sharing and delivery at scale. We already own Joby Aviation, whose people-carrying drones will make it the Uber of the Skies. This week I am adding its cargo-carrying, military-focused peer. It’s a company that IPO’d late last year to much acclaim. With recent White House endorsement and Dept. of Transportation approval for drone services to commence this summer across eleven states, investing in these companies takes on new urgency.
May 01, 2026
Read MoreMemory Chip Supercycle
Like Nvidia GPUs Three years Ago
- AI-driven demand for memory is outpacing supply and causing substantial DRAM/NAND price increases
- Structural supply/demand imbalances for memory chips creates earnings upside for memory suppliers
- Stock of top memory chip maker has quadrupled in a year and is still historically cheap given EPS upside
Supercycle – Artificial Intelligence creates a virtuous cycle of ever-increasing demand for computing power, and the raw materials that make it possible. We need more electricity, more bandwidth, more semiconductors, and more memory to store the quintillions of data being generated. Admittedly, I am late to the party on identifying the need for increased memory capacity and the one company that benefits most, but better late than never.
May 01, 2026
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