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Adam Johnson
Adam Johnson anchored several business programs at Bloomberg Television over five years, interviewing CEOs, heads of state, and Nobel laureates. His daily video investment blog, Insight and Action was sponsored by a major U.S. lender. Previously he managed global risk assets for ING Furman Selz and Louis Dreyfus, trading oil futures, listed equities and equity options. Adam began his career at Merrill Lynch with a degree in economics at Princeton.
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Surround the Chamber
Nano Manufacturing’s Mantra
- Semiconductor fabrication techniques increasing apply to other industries requiring tiny components
- 5G dependent Internet of Things (IoT) provides significant runway for nano manufacturers to expand
- The semiconductor sector’s #1 supplier of ultra-clean airtight nano solutions offers growth AND value
I am a big believer in ecosystems… one-stop solutions which cut out red tape and make life simple. Apple accomplishes this brilliantly, linking photos, music, emails and everything else across multiple devices. Amazon does the same for personal shopping, as does Costco if you need to buy gas or get your kids out of the house on a rainy Saturday. These consumer-facing companies have created entire ecosystems for people, but the concept is just as powerful for business-to-business applications behind the scenes. Consider J.B. Hunt, which solves third party logistics for thousands of companies, while United Rentals delivers any piece of equipment to any job site with a couple of mouse clicks. This increasingly borderless, integrated approach to solving service needs has found its way to the burgeoning nano manufacturing sector as well. One company known for creating airtight compartments so silicon chips can be made dust-free is branching out. It now offers an entire suite of products to provide manufactures with comprehensive solutions for creating tiny products at massive scale… an increasingly important part of the global supply chain as the Internet of Things (IoT) gathers momentum. This too is an ecosystem, and it’s getting much bigger.
March 23, 2019
Read MoreThree Big Ideas
Why They Matter Now
- Data is becoming an irreplaceable asset which belongs on the balance sheet as AI goes mainstream
- Inverted yield curves always precede recessions, but stocks rally anyway… sometimes for a long time
- America’s public debt problem poses a significant risk to fiscal stability and governmental effectiveness
“How do you make the most amount of money on Wall Street… find a theme and leverage it.” My mentor of many years posed this question to virtually every job candidate he interviewed. If people answered correctly, they got the job and went on to very profitable careers, assuming they didn’t mind long hours or inescapable accountability. I am a thematic investor, meaning I start with a big idea and drill down to specific companies which magnify the theme… like Qualcomm, Inc. (QCOM) for 5G or NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) for EVs. Getting a theme right means I can let the tide do some of the work, and I think there are some very important themes brewing offshore. In this note I share three of them, drawing on previous research in order to fine-tune my focus and intensify the spotlight. This is where we need to pay attention.
March 23, 2019
Read MoreOur Road Ahead
50 Picks for 2Q19
- Bullseye enters the second quarter up 15% YTD with 50 positions across five defining themes
- Progress on trade and data on the economy create tactical near-term opportunities
- Technology and healthcare innovation drive compelling long-term growth trajectories
My commitment to American Ingenuity frames the portfolio and provides exciting opportunity for capital appreciation as the second quarter begins. Gathering momentum around trade and the economy suggests the path of least resistance is still higher, as naysayers and bears are forced to play catch-up. Bullseye is already fully deployed across multiple sectors, reflecting my belief that innovation and the economy will drive stocks higher than many believe possible this year. Recession is not part of the 2019 outlook, and history has shown that markets continue to rally long past yield curve inversion. Thirteen positions reflect my belief in the power of Transformative Technologies, and an additional eight positions create exciting upside potential as providers of Healthcare Solutions. Twelve holdings benefit directly from continued Economic Expansion, while ten stocks linked to Trade Resolution should re-inflate as the US mends fences with partners globally. Finally, seven Special Situations offer unique opportunity to benefit from specific catalysts in coming months.
March 23, 2019
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10.2
As in US/Mexico cross-boarder truck volumes are up 10.2% YoY
#USMCAvsNAFTA?
59
As in China imports 59% of the semiconductors it inserts into the products in manufactures, many of which are then exported.
#EveryoneNeedsTheTradeDeal
1,000,000
As in an estimated 1,000,000 Brits marched in London to protest Brexit and demand a second referendum.
#BeatsOurWallDebate
“My ideal investing is stuff that looks a little crazy now and in 3-5 years is obvious.”
Reed Hoffman, Co-Founder LinkedIn
#AmericanIngenuity
“Given Wells Fargo’s history of unlawful activity, I strongly urge the OCC and CFPB to take action.”
— Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s recent letter to regulators, even though WFC has already paid multiple fines.
#SecondCEOResignsInTwoYrs
“Technology and illiquid alternatives are two pillars of BlackRock’s growth.”
–BLK Chairman Larry Fink commenting on his firms recent fintech acquisitions.
#IlliquidAndAlternativeOhBoy
